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10.11: Bibliography

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    71485
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    Allison, E.H., A.L. Perry, M.-C. Badjeck, et al. 2009. Vulnerability of national economies to the impacts of climate change on fisheries. Fish and Fisheries 10: 173–96. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-2979.2008.00310.x

    Arrhenius, S. 1896. On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the Earth. Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science 41: 237–76. https://doi.org/10.1080/14786449608620846

    Barbet-Massin, M., B.A. Walther, W. Thuiller, et al. 2009. Potential impacts of climate change on the winter distribution of Afro-Palaearctic migrant passerines. Biology Letters 5: 248–51. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2008.0715

    Battarbee, R.W. 2014. The rediscovery of the Aldabra banded snail, Rhachistia aldabrae. Biology Letters 10: 20140771. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2014.0771

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    Beale, C.M., N.E. Baker, M.J. Brewer, et al. 2013. Protected area networks and savannah bird biodiversity in the face of climate change and land degradation. Ecology letters 16: 1061–68. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12139

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    Carr, J.A., A.F. Hughes, and W.B. Foden. 2014. A climate change vulnerability assessment of West African species. Technical Report (Cambridge: UNEP-WCMC). http://parcc.protectedplanet.net/assets/IUCN_species_vulnerability-181b4593dd469dcba033b1f06aaa3cd7c7678424c3a2b056578c9582bd5bf7fb.pdf

    Chauka, L.J. 2016. Tanzanian reef building corals may succumb to bleaching events: Evidences from coral-symbiodinium symbioses. In: Estuaries: A Lifeline of Ecosystem Services in the Western Indian Ocean, ed. by S. Diop et al. (Cham: Springer). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-25370-1

    Conradie, S.R., S.M. Woodbourne, S.J. Cunningham, et al. 2019. Chronic, sublethal effects of high temperatures will cause severe declines in southern African arid-zone birds during the 21st Century. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116: in press.

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    Craparo, A.C.W., P.J.A. van Asten, P. Läderach, et al. 2015. Coffea arabica yields decline in Tanzania due to climate change: Global implications. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 207: 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.03.005

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    Cunningham, S.J., R.O. Martin, C.L. Hojem, et al. 2013. Temperatures in excess of critical thresholds threaten nestling growth and survival in a rapidly-warming arid savanna: A study of common fiscals. PLoS ONE 8: e74613. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0074613

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    du Plessis, K.L., R.O. Martin, P.A.R. Hockey, et al. 2012. The costs of keeping cool in a warming world: Implications of high temperatures for foraging, thermoregulation and body condition of an arid-zone bird. Global Change Biology 18: 2063–3070. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02778.x

    Engelbrecht, F.A., J.L. McGregor, and C.J. Engelbrecht. 2009. Dynamics of the Conformal‐Cubic Atmospheric Model projected climate‐change signal over southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology 29: 1013–33. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1742

    Fagotto, M., and M. Gattoni. 2016. West Africa is being swallowed by the sea. Foreign Policy. http://atfp.co/2tUZCaM

    Fitchett, J.M., and S.W. Grab. 2014. A 66‐year tropical cyclone record for south‐east Africa: Temporal trends in a global context. International Journal of Climatology 34: 3604–15. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3932

    Flörke, M., C. Schneider, and R.I. McDonald. 2018. Water competition between cities and agriculture driven by climate change and urban growth. Nature Sustainability 1: 51–58. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-017-0006-8

    Foden, W., G.F. Midgley, G. Hughes, et al. 2007. A changing climate is eroding the geographical range of the Namib Desert tree Aloe through population declines and dispersal lags. Diversity and Distributions 13: 645–53. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2007.00391.x

    Fordham, D.A., C. Bertelsmeier, B.W. Brook, et al. 2018. How complex should models be? Comparing correlative and mechanistic range dynamics models. Global Change Biology 24: 1357–70. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13935

    Forster, P., V. Ramaswamy, P. Artaxo, et al. 2007. Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, ed. by S. Solomon et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/ar4-wg1-chapter2-1.pdf

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    Gillis, J. 2017. Earth sets a temperature record for the third straight year. New York Times. https://nyti.ms/2jAdWlA

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    Grab, S., and A. Craparo. 2011. Advance of apple and pear tree full bloom dates in response to climate change in the southwestern Cape, South Africa: 1973–2009. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 151: 406–13. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.11.001

    Gynther, I., N. Waller, and L.K.-P. Leung. 2016. Confirmation of the extinction of the Bramble Cay melomys Melomys rubicola on Bramble Cay, Torres Strait (Brisbane: EHP). https://environment.des.qld.gov.au/wildlife/threatened-species/documents/bramble-cay-melomys-survey-report.pdf

    Harris, N.L., S. Brown, S.C. Hagen, et al. 2012. Baseline map of carbon emissions from deforestation in tropical regions. Science 336: 1573–76. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1217962

    Hole, D.G., S.G. Willis, D.J. Pain, et al. 2009. Projected impacts of climate change on a continent-wide protected area network. Ecology Letters 12: 420–31. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2009.01297.x

    Houniet, D.T., W. Thuiller, and K.A. Tolley. 2009. Potential effects of predicted climate change on the endemic South African Dwarf Chameleons, Bradypodion. African Journal of Herpetology 58: 28–35. https://doi.org/10.1080/21564574.2009.9635577

    Hsiang, S.M., and A.H. Sobel. 2016. Potentially extreme population displacement and concentration in the tropics under non-extreme warming. Scientific Reports 6: 25697. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep25697

    Huntley, B., and P. Barnard. 2012. Potential impacts of climatic change on southern African birds of fynbos and grassland biodiversity hotspots. Diversity and Distributions 18: 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2012.00890.x

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    Ito, T., S. Minobe, M.C. Long, et al. 2017. Upper ocean O2 trends: 1958–2015. Geophysical Research Letters 44: 4214–23. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073613

    Jackson, R.B., C. Le Quéré, R.M. Andrew, et al. 2018. Global energy growth is outpacing decarbonization. Environmental Research Letters 13: 120401. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf303

    Jaramillo J., E. Muchugu, F.E. Vega, et al. 2011. Some like it hot: The influence and implications of climate change on coffee berry borer (Hypothenemus hampei) and coffee production in East Africa. PLoS ONE 6: e24528. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0024528

    Jezkova, T., and J.J. Wiens. 2016. Rates of change in climatic niches in plant and animal populations are much slower than projected climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 283: 20162104. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2016.2104

    Jolly, W.M., M.A. Cochrane, P.H. Freeborn, et al. 2015. Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013. Nature Communications 6: 8537. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms8537

    Kaempffert, W. 1956. Warmer climate on the Earth may be due to more carbon dioxide in the air. New York Times. https://nyti.ms/2zYC2Ot

    Kaniewski, D., E. van Campo, J. Guiot, et al. 2013. Environmental roots of the Late Bronze Age crisis. PLoS ONE 8: e71004. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0071004

    Khatiwala, S., F. Primeau, and T. Hall. 2009. Reconstruction of the history of anthropogenic CO2 concentrations in the ocean. Nature 462: 346–49. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08526

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