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6.9: Bibliography

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    26791
  • Albright, T.P., D. Mutiibwa, A.R. Gerson, et al. 2017. Mapping evaporative water loss in desert passerines reveals an expanding threat of lethal dehydration. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114: 2283–88. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1613625114

    Allison, E.H., A.L. Perry, M.-C. Badjeck, et al. 2009. Vulnerability of national economies to the impacts of climate change on fisheries. Fish and Fisheries 10: 173–96. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-2979.2008.00310.x

    Arrhenius, S. 1896. On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the Earth. Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science 41: 237–76. https://doi.org/10.1080/14786449608620846

    Barbet-Massin, M., B.A. Walther, W. Thuiller, et al. 2009. Potential impacts of climate change on the winter distribution of Afro-Palaearctic migrant passerines. Biology Letters 5: 248–51. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2008.0715

    Battarbee, R.W. 2014. The rediscovery of the Aldabra banded snail, Rhachistia aldabrae. Biology Letters 10: 20140771. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2014.0771

    Bazelet, C., and P. Naskrecki. 2014. Pseudosaga maraisi. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2014: e.T62452865A62452868. http://doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2014-3.RLTS.T62 452865A62452868.en

    Beale, C.M., N.E. Baker, M.J. Brewer, et al. 2013. Protected area networks and savannah bird biodiversity in the face of climate change and land degradation. Ecology letters 16: 1061–68. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12139

    BirdLife International. 2016. Alauda razae. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species 2016: e.T22717428A94531580. http://doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2018-2.RLTS.T22717428A131103086.en

    Boko, M., I. Niang, A. Nyong, et al. 2007. Africa. In: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, ed. by S. Solomon et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/ar4-wg2-chapter9-1.pdf

    Both, C., S. Bouwhuis, C.M. Lessells, et al. 2006. Climate change and population declines in a long-distance migratory bird. Nature 441: 81–83. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature04539

    Branch, T.A., B.M. DeJoseph, L.J. Ray, et al. 2013. Impacts of ocean acidification on marine seafood. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 28: 178–86. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2012.10.001

    Burton, M.E.H., J.R. Poulsen, M.E. Lee, et al. 2017. Reducing carbon emissions from forest conversion for oil palm agriculture in Gabon. Conservation Letters 10: 297–307. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12265

    Carolin, S.A., R.T. Walker, C.C. Day, et al. 2019. Precise timing of abrupt increase in dust activity in the Middle East coincident with 4.2 ka social change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116: 67–72. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1808103115

    Carrington, D. Why the Guardian is changing the language it uses about the environment. Guardian. https://gu.com/p/bfgxm

    Carr, J.A., A.F. Hughes, and W.B. Foden. 2014. A climate change vulnerability assessment of West African species. Technical Report (Cambridge: UNEP-WCMC). http://parcc.protectedplanet.net/assets/IUCN_species_vulnerability-181b4593dd469dcba033b1f06aaa3cd7c7678424c3a2b056578c9582bd5bf7fb.pdf

    Chauka, L.J. 2016. Tanzanian reef building corals may succumb to bleaching events: Evidences from coral-symbiodinium symbioses. In: Estuaries: A Lifeline of Ecosystem Services in the Western Indian Ocean, ed. by S. Diop et al. (Cham: Springer). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-25370-1

    Conradie, S.R., S.M. Woodbourne, S.J. Cunningham, et al. 2019. Chronic, sublethal effects of high temperatures will cause severe declines in southern African arid-zone birds during the 21st Century. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116: in press.

    Craig, M.H., R.W. Snow, and D. le Sueur. 1999. A climate-based distribution model of malaria transmission in sub-Saharan Africa. Parasitology Today 15: 105–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-4758(99)01396-4

    Craparo, A.C.W., P.J.A. van Asten, P. Läderach, et al. 2015. Coffea arabica yields decline in Tanzania due to climate change: Global implications. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 207: 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.03.005

    Crump, M.L., F.R. Hensley, and K.L. Clark, 1992. Apparent decline of the golden toad: Underground or extinct? Copia 1992: 413–20.

    Cunningham, S.J., R.O. Martin, C.L. Hojem, et al. 2013. Temperatures in excess of critical thresholds threaten nestling growth and survival in a rapidly-warming arid savanna: A study of common fiscals. PLoS ONE 8: e74613. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0074613

    DeMenocal, P.B. 2001. Cultural responses to climate change during the late Holocene. Science 292: 667–73. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1059287

    Dietz, S., A. Bowen, C. Dixon, et al. 2016. ‘Climate value at risk’ of global financial assets. Nature Climate Change 6: 676–79. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2972

    Dimitrov, D., D. Nogués-Bravo, and N. Scharff. 2012. Why do tropical mountains support exceptionally high biodiversity? The Eastern Arc Mountains and the drivers of Saintpaulia diversity. PloS ONE 7: e48908. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048908

    du Plessis, K.L., R.O. Martin, P.A.R. Hockey, et al. 2012. The costs of keeping cool in a warming world: Implications of high temperatures for foraging, thermoregulation and body condition of an arid-zone bird. Global Change Biology 18: 2063–3070. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02778.x

    Engelbrecht, F.A., J.L. McGregor, and C.J. Engelbrecht. 2009. Dynamics of the Conformal‐Cubic Atmospheric Model projected climate‐change signal over southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology 29: 1013–33. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1742

    Fagotto, M., and M. Gattoni. 2016. West Africa is being swallowed by the sea. Foreign Policy. http://atfp.co/2tUZCaM

    Fitchett, J.M., and S.W. Grab. 2014. A 66‐year tropical cyclone record for south‐east Africa: Temporal trends in a global context. International Journal of Climatology 34: 3604–15. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3932

    Flörke, M., C. Schneider, and R.I. McDonald. 2018. Water competition between cities and agriculture driven by climate change and urban growth. Nature Sustainability 1: 51–58. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-017-0006-8

    Foden, W., G.F. Midgley, G. Hughes, et al. 2007. A changing climate is eroding the geographical range of the Namib Desert tree Aloe through population declines and dispersal lags. Diversity and Distributions 13: 645–53. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2007.00391.x

    Fordham, D.A., C. Bertelsmeier, B.W. Brook, et al. 2018. How complex should models be? Comparing correlative and mechanistic range dynamics models. Global Change Biology 24: 1357–70. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13935

    Forster, P., V. Ramaswamy, P. Artaxo, et al. 2007. Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, ed. by S. Solomon et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/ar4-wg1-chapter2-1.pdf

    Garpe, K.C., S.A.S. Yahya, U. Lindahl, et al. 2006. Long-term effects of the 1998 coral bleaching event on reef fish assemblages. Marine Ecology Progress Series 315: 237–47. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps315237

    Gillis, J. 2017. Earth sets a temperature record for the third straight year. New York Times. https://nyti.ms/2jAdWlA

    Gonedelé B.S., I. Koné, A.E., Bitty, et al. 2012. Distribution and conservation status of catarrhine primates in Côte d’Ivoire (West Africa). Folia Primatologica 83: 11–23. https://doi.org/10.1159/000338752

    Grab, S., and A. Craparo. 2011. Advance of apple and pear tree full bloom dates in response to climate change in the southwestern Cape, South Africa: 1973–2009. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 151: 406–13. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.11.001

    Gynther, I., N. Waller, and L.K.-P. Leung. 2016. Confirmation of the extinction of the Bramble Cay melomys Melomys rubicola on Bramble Cay, Torres Strait (Brisbane: EHP). https://environment.des.qld.gov.au/wildlife/threatened-species/documents/bramble-cay-melomys-survey-report.pdf

    Harris, N.L., S. Brown, S.C. Hagen, et al. 2012. Baseline map of carbon emissions from deforestation in tropical regions. Science 336: 1573–76. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1217962

    Hole, D.G., S.G. Willis, D.J. Pain, et al. 2009. Projected impacts of climate change on a continent-wide protected area network. Ecology Letters 12: 420–31. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2009.01297.x

    Houniet, D.T., W. Thuiller, and K.A. Tolley. 2009. Potential effects of predicted climate change on the endemic South African Dwarf Chameleons, Bradypodion. African Journal of Herpetology 58: 28–35. https://doi.org/10.1080/21564574.2009.9635577

    Hsiang, S.M., and A.H. Sobel. 2016. Potentially extreme population displacement and concentration in the tropics under non-extreme warming. Scientific Reports 6: 25697. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep25697

    Huntley, B., and P. Barnard. 2012. Potential impacts of climatic change on southern African birds of fynbos and grassland biodiversity hotspots. Diversity and Distributions 18: 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2012.00890.x

    IPCC. 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report (Geneva: IPCC). https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/syr

    Ito, T., S. Minobe, M.C. Long, et al. 2017. Upper ocean O2 trends: 1958–2015. Geophysical Research Letters 44: 4214–23. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073613

    Jackson, R.B., C. Le Quéré, R.M. Andrew, et al. 2018. Global energy growth is outpacing decarbonization. Environmental Research Letters 13: 120401. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf303

    Jaramillo J., E. Muchugu, F.E. Vega, et al. 2011. Some like it hot: The influence and implications of climate change on coffee berry borer (Hypothenemus hampei) and coffee production in East Africa. PLoS ONE 6: e24528. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0024528

    Jezkova, T., and J.J. Wiens. 2016. Rates of change in climatic niches in plant and animal populations are much slower than projected climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 283: 20162104. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2016.2104

    Jolly, W.M., M.A. Cochrane, P.H. Freeborn, et al. 2015. Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013. Nature Communications 6: 8537. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms8537

    Kaempffert, W. 1956. Warmer climate on the Earth may be due to more carbon dioxide in the air. New York Times. https://nyti.ms/2zYC2Ot

    Kaniewski, D., E. van Campo, J. Guiot, et al. 2013. Environmental roots of the Late Bronze Age crisis. PLoS ONE 8: e71004. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0071004

    Khatiwala, S., F. Primeau, and T. Hall. 2009. Reconstruction of the history of anthropogenic CO2 concentrations in the ocean. Nature 462: 346–49. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08526

    Knouft, J.H., and D.L. Ficklin. 2017. The potential impacts of climate change on biodiversity in flowing freshwater systems. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 48: 111–33. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-110316-022803

    Koh, L.P., R.R. Dunn, N.S. Sodhi, et al. 2004. Species coextinctions and the biodiversity crisis. Science 305: 1632–34. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1101101

    Kreyling, J., D. Wana, and C. Beierkuhnlein. 2010. Potential consequences of climate warming for tropical plant species in high mountains of southern Ethiopia. Diversity and Distributions 16: 593–605. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2010.00675.x

    La Sorte, F.A., S.H.M. Butchart, W. Jetz, et al. 2014. Range-wide latitudinal and elevational temperature gradients for the world’s terrestrial birds: Implications under global climate change. PLoS ONE 9: e98361. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0098361

    Laloë, J.-O., J. Cozens, B. Renom, et al. 2014. Effects of rising temperature on the viability of an important sea turtle rookery. Nature Climate Change 4: 513–18. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2236

    Lam, V.W.Y., W.W.L. Cheung, W. Swartz, et al. 2012. Climate change impacts on fisheries in West Africa: Implications for economic, food and nutritional security. African Journal of Marine Science 34: 103–17. http://doi.org/10.2989/1814232X.2012.673294

    Le Quéré, C.L., R.M. Andrew, P. Friedlingstein, et al. 2018. Global carbon budget 2018. Earth System Science Data 10: 2141–94. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-2141-2018

    Leduc, A.O.H.C., P.L. Munday, G.E. Brown, et al. 2013. Effects of acidification on olfactory-mediated behavior in freshwater and marine ecosystems: A synthesis. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 368: 20120447. http://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2012.0447

    Leslie, A.J., and J.R. Spotila. 2001. Alien plant threatens Nile crocodile (Crocodylus niloticus) breeding in Lake St. Lucia, South Africa. Biological Conservation 98: 347–55. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0006-3207(00)00177-4

    Linder, J.M. 2013. African primate biodiversity threatened by “new wave” of industrial oil palm expansion. African Primates 8: 25–38.

    Linder, J.M., and R.E. Palkovitz. 2016. The threat of industrial oil palm expansion to primates and their habitats. In: Ethnoprimatology, ed. by M. Waller (Cham: Springer). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-30469-4

    Long, M.C., C. Deutsch, and T. Ito. 2016. Finding forced trends in oceanic oxygen. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30: 381–97. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GB005310

    Maxwell, D., N. Majid, H. Stobaugh, et al. 2014. Lessons learned from the Somalia famine and the greater Horn of Africa crisis 2011–2012 (Medford: Feinstein International Center, Tufts University). http://fic.tufts.edu/publication-item/famine-somalia-crisis-2011-2012

    McClanahan, T.R., M. Ateweberhan, C.A. Muhando, et al. 2007. Effects of climate and seawater temperature variation on coral bleaching and mortality. Ecological Monographs 77: 503–25. https://doi.org/10.1890/06-1182.1

    McClean, C.J., N. Doswald, W. Küper, et al. 2006. Potential impacts of climate change on Sub-Saharan African plant priority area selection. Diversity and Distributions 12: 645–55. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2006.00290.x

    McKechnie, A.E., and B.O. Wolf. 2010. Climate change increases the likelihood of catastrophic avian mortality events during extreme heat waves. Biology Letters 6: 253–56. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2009.0702

    Medek, D.E., J. Schwartz, and S.S. Myers. 2017. Estimated effects of future atmospheric CO2 concentrations on protein intake and the risk of protein deficiency by country and region. Environmental Health Perspectives 125: 087002. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP41

    Mekasha, A., L. Nigatu, K. Tesfaye, et al. 2013. Modeling the response of tropical highland herbaceous grassland species to climate change: The case of the Arsi Mountains of Ethiopia. Biological Conservation 168: 169–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2013.09.020

    Merone, L, and P. Tait. 2018. ‘Climate refugees’: Is it time to legally acknowledge those displaced by climate disruption? Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health 6: 508–09. https://doi.org/10.1111/1753-6405.12849

    Milne, R., S.J. Cunningham, A.T. Lee, et al. 2015. The role of thermal physiology in recent declines of birds in a biodiversity hotspot. Conservation Physiology 3: p.cov048. https://doi.org/10.1093/conphys/cov048

    Mollica, N.R., W. Guo, A.L. Cohen, et al. 2018. Ocean acidification affects coral growth by reducing skeletal density. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115: 1754–59. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1712806115

    Myers, S.S., A. Zanobetti, I. Kloog, et al. 2014. Increasing CO2 threatens human nutrition. Nature 510: 139–42. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13179

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    O’Reilly, C.M., S.R. Alin, P.-D. Plisnier, et al. 2003. Climate change decreases aquatic ecosystem productivity of Lake Tanganyika, Africa. Nature 424: 766–68. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01833

    Ordway, E.M., R.L. Naylor, R.N. Nkongho, et al. 2019. Oil palm expansion and deforestation in Southwest Cameroon associated with proliferation of informal mills. Nature Communications 10: 114. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07915-2

    Pinsky, M.L., A.M. Eikeset, D.J. McCauley, et al., 2019. Greater vulnerability to warming of marine versus terrestrial ectotherms. Nature 569: 108–11. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1132-4

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